| 100NL: River trips, value bet? | |
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bdon22 Dva para
Number of posts : 104 Location : Toronto Poker Site : PokerStars Karma : 8
| Subject: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 30.11.09 5:01 | |
| I forget stats but villain is a decent reg. $0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem 6 Players Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.comStacks:UTG ($103.53) Hero ($101.50) CO ( $242.45) BTN ( $97.26) SB ( $200.16) BB ( $100) Pre-Flop: ( $1.50, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1 3 A UTG raises to $4, Hero calls $4, 4 foldsFlop: 10 7 Q ( $9.50, 2 players) UTG bets $6.77, Hero calls $6.77 Turn: A ( $23.04, 2 players) UTG bets $16.41, Hero calls $16.41 River: A ( $55.86, 2 players) UTG checks, Hero ??? | |
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bicko Team Pokerica
Number of posts : 657 Location : Zagreb Poker Site : Party, Unibet, Betfriends Karma : 67
| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 30.11.09 10:35 | |
| I dont see him calling with less than A here. You called 2 pot sized bets and beting know just wont be profitable enough. You can save some money against bigger A with check. And above all, he is a decent reg. Check!! | |
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RedRaw Team Pokerica
Number of posts : 1884 Location : Zagreb Poker Site : PokerStars / FTP Karma : 84
| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 30.11.09 10:51 | |
| I on the other hand think you should bet this as the two running A's discount the possibility of you holding A as well so he might be inclined to call with worse hands like KK, Qx and maybe JJ. KJ, TT and QQ are the biggest threats range wise, although not sure how much he'll have KJo as opposed to KJs.
I realize this is all very narrow but I think a bet can get you enough calls with worse to make it profitable (Not doing the math though). | |
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equusDU Skala
Number of posts : 398 Location : Dubrovnik Poker Site : Unibet Karma : 8
| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 30.11.09 13:24 | |
| I also think that you have the best hand here and should bet the river, because i don't see him holding anything better than two pairs or some big pocket pair, or Qx... | |
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eSco Pokerica
Number of posts : 1813 Location : LOL Poker Site : CSB Karma : 93
| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 30.11.09 13:52 | |
| after check on the turn just check this river. sexy bets like $6.77, $16.41 etc coming from decent reg. are funky traps on nl100 (at least in 90% occasions). | |
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bdon22 Dva para
Number of posts : 104 Location : Toronto Poker Site : PokerStars Karma : 8
| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 01.12.09 1:49 | |
| So I bet an amount I think a Q will call and... River: A ( $55.86, 2 players) UTG checks, Hero bets $15, UTG goes all-in $76.35, Hero NOW WHAT?? | |
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RedRaw Team Pokerica
Number of posts : 1884 Location : Zagreb Poker Site : PokerStars / FTP Karma : 84
| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 01.12.09 3:19 | |
| Fold preflop Now you call. Your bet is iffy and he might be turning hands into bluff here, or he can do this with KK exactly because of the running aces. Had you bet a normal, bluffier amount it would be easier to call it off here. I mean, if you're beat, you're beat, but I still call and hate everything about hte hand since the start. | |
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DoctorHandles Dva para
Number of posts : 114 Location : USA GO AMERICA!!! Poker Site : Full Tilt Karma : 9
| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? 10.12.09 21:20 | |
| Fold or 3-bet PF not close. Fold or raise flop not close.
It is so insanely rare he's checking this river with AJ or better I would bet this for sure, for like $22 or something. | |
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| Subject: Re: 100NL: River trips, value bet? | |
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| 100NL: River trips, value bet? | |
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